Well, the D3200 with 18-55 VR already dropped from 800 EUR to 580 EUR (-27%). So I
assume that this is not going to fall much further fast.
On the other hand the D3100 with kit-lens dropped shortly below 390 EUR and bounced back to around 420 EUR. That is a sign for me that the price-level of the D3100 is not going to fall much further anytime soon.
The main question now is: how fast are the last production units of the D3100 sell at this price-differential against the D3200. If it takes until X-mas to clear the the stock you might well see some lower prices. But if Nikon did calculate the remaining pieces of D3100 well it may not be available for too long.
So my
guess is: it will not go much deeper than 400 EUR in the coming months

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Thomas (beware: Nikon-fanboy and moderator!)
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